NEWS

02.10.2026 | Iran readies harder retaliation if attacked as diplomacy faces long odds
Source - Reuters

The planning reflects a conviction within Iran's ​leadership that any renewed US campaign must be met with a stronger response than before, even as Tehran seeks to avert escalation through talks.

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Senior commanders are reviewing plans to expand potential targets ‌beyond US-linked assets to countries that support US military operations and possibly to locations outside the Middle East, according to three senior Iranian officials and an insider familiar with the discussions.

Since President Masoud Pezeshkian returned from New York last week, commanders and senior officials have focused on the scope and timing of any response if Washington strikes again.

No final decision has been made, but planning has intensified as neither side shows signs of willingness to compromise.

The deliberations follow seven months of conflict that began with US-Israeli attacks on February 28. Although an April ​8 ceasefire ended the 40-day war, hostilities have continued sporadically since then.


Hamidreza Azizi, a senior Iran analyst at the International Crisis Group, said Tehran remained uncertain whether President Donald Trump would launch another major campaign ​or opt for more limited attacks, such as strikes on nuclear facilities.

"But they seem determined not to respond symbolically to a symbolic move and instead to escalate in the ⁠hope of reestablishing deterrence," Azizi said.

Tehran is also weighing the political risks for Trump of a prolonged conflict. Polls show the war has been unpopular with Americans, while higher fuel prices remain a concern ahead of the midterm elections.

Two of the ​officials said Tehran had instructed allied groups in Lebanon, Yemen and Iraq to be ready to support Iran in the event of a renewed large-scale US attack.

The guidance, they said, was to prepare for a coordinated response stretching "from the Strait ​of Hormuz to US interests in the region and outside the Middle East."


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