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21.09.2022 | These 5 Senate Seats Might Flip in November
Source - The Epoch Times

Fifty days remain until the Nov. 8 general election that will determine whether Democrats retain a majority in the House and Senate or if Republicans can gain control of one or both chambers.

A lot can change in 50 days, campaign teams and political strategists agree.

Earlier in the summer, Republicans seemed to have a significant advantage with record-high inflation and gas prices and Bidens low approval ratings. The U.S. Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade in July appeared to energize Democrats.

The FBIs raid on former President Donald Trumps Mar-a-Lago residence in Florida last month has fired up conservative Republicans.

The economy, many political pundits believe, will play a significant role in midterm elections, and Democrats are pointing to declining gas prices and Bidens Inflation Reduction Act and student loan forgiveness plan as examples that brighter days are ahead for Americans bank accounts.


While multiple forecasts project that Republicans will regain control in the House, even GOP leaders are split about the future of the Senate. Nationwide, 14 seats held by Democrats and 21 filled by Republicans are on the ballot.




Last month, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) told reporters that he believes Republicans have a better chance of winning the House than the Senate. The quality of the GOPs Senate candidates could hinder the partys ability to regain control of the Senate, he added.

I think theres probably a greater likelihood the House flips than the Senate. Senate races are just differenttheyre statewide [and] candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome, McConnell said.

McConnell didnt mention candidates by name, but Herschel Walker in Georgia and Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania havent been performing as well as originally expected in the polls.

Additionally, in the race to replace retiring Republican Sen. Rob Portman in Ohio, 10-term Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan is gaining more traction than anticipated against first-time candidate J.D. Vance, who is endorsed by Trump.

McConnells comments drew criticism from Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Rick Scott.

Senator McConnell and I clearly have a strategic disagreement here, Scott told Politico. We have great candidates. He wants to do the same thing I want to do: I want to get a majority. And I think its important that were all cheerleaders for our candidates.


Scott wrote in an op-ed published by the Washington Examiner that many of the very people responsible for losing the Senate last cycle are now trying to stop us from winning the majority this time by trash-talking our Republican candidates.

Its an amazing act of cowardice, and, ultimately, its treasonous to the conservative cause.

Giving anonymous quotes to help The Washington Post or The New York Times write stories trashing Republicans is the same as working with the Democratic National Committee.

With early voting starting in some states, and less than two months until the Nov. 8 general Election Day, here are five Senate seats that could flip and determine which party has control:

Pennsylvania

While John Fetterman, the Democratic lieutenant governor of Pennsylvania, decisively won his partys primary, Oz defeated David McCormick by less than 1,000 votes after a recount in a tense Republican primary.


Fetterman suffered a stroke days before the primary, cast his vote remotely from a hospital bed, and is still recovering. The candidates are vying to replace retiring Republican Sen. Pat Toomey.

Until the past few weeks, Fetterman has garnered sympathy for his health condition while trolling Oz on social media with memes depicting the celebrity surgeon as a wealthy carpetbagger from neighboring New Jersey.

Oz has responded by pointing to Fettermans absence from the campaign trail, questioning his cognitive abilities in the aftermath of the candidates stroke, and admonishing him for only agreeing to one debate.

Editorials in The Washington Post, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, and Philadelphia Inquirer also have expressed concern about Fettermans health and have criticized him for hesitating to debate Oz.

While the first absentee ballots are set to be mailed to Pennsylvania voters on Sept. 19, Fetterman has only agreed to one debateon Oct. 25, two weeks before Election Day.

Oz wanted the first debate to occur on Sept. 6, but Fetterman declined. Instead, Oz held a press conference in the Philadelphia area with Toomey.

At the press conference, Oz and Toomey criticized Fetterman for refusing to debate and questioned his ability to serve in the Senate, if elected, because of his health issues.

After suffering the stroke on May 13, Fetterman had surgery to implant a pacemaker. It was revealed that he has a serious heart condition. Fetterman, who hasnt provided access to his medical records, has said that he almost died.

Since the stroke, he has conducted just a few interviews with reporters, hasnt held a press conference, and has incorporated closed-captioning in video interviews with media members.

Polls still favor Fetterman, although the race is tightening as both parties Senate campaign arms pour millions of dollars into advertisements.

Nevada

In one of the nations most-watched Senate races, Trump-endorsed Adam Laxalt, Nevadas former attorney general, leads incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto in an Emerson College Polling/8 News Now/The Hill poll released last week. Laxalt is ahead 42 percent to 41 percent in the survey, which was conducted between Sept. 8 and Sept. 10 among 1,000 likely voters.

Its only the second time in the past seven surveys that Laxalt has led Cortez Masto, according to FiveThirtyEight.


Laxalt is not a superstar Republican recruit, Kyle Kondik wrote in a Sabatos Crystal Ball Aug. 4 analysis, although he does at least stand out for being a prior officeholder and someone who has been through tough races in the past.

Democrats are hoping to use Laxalts anti-abortion rights stance as a weapon against him in a fairly pro-abortion rights state, he added.

Polls have flip-flopped in the Laxalt-Cortez-Masto race. Laxalt held an edge in April, but after Roe v. Wade was overturned, there was a 10-point shift that saw Cortez Masto gain a 7-point advantage, according to a statewide Aug. 1417 Suffolk University/Reno Gazette-Journal survey of 500 likely Nevada voters.

Democrats and Republicans acknowledge that abortion, and not solely the economy, will be a hot-button issue in the race.

Wisconsin

In August, incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson trailed Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes by 7 points in a Marquette Law School poll. Last week, Marquette released a new survey showing that Johnson has taken a 49 percent to 48 percent lead over Barnes.

The GOP is peppering the Wisconsin airwaves with negative ads about Barnes, tying him to the squad of House progressive Democrats.

Barnes is not just a Democrat, but a dangerous Democrat, the National Senate Republican Committee said in one such spot.

While Barnes supports defunding the police, the pro-Johnson Wisconsin Truth PAC said in its ad, he has countered with an ad denying that claim.

To the extent there has been a shift, Wisconsinites are finally beginning to understand who Mandela is and what he truly believes, Johnson told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Not that hes telling them. Hes hiding from the press.

I hope the mainstream media in Wisconsin starts demanding that he start answering their questions and be honest with them, which I dont think hes been, Johnson added.


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