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31.07.2020 | Trump Narrows the Gap in Battleground States
Source - Breitbart

“Biden leads by 9 points in the national ballot and by 3 points in the battleground (48% to 45%). While the battleground ballot has tightened, Biden continues to lead across each battleground state,” Change Research said in a statement accompanying the poll results. The battleground poll was conducted in six key battleground states President Trump won in 2016 (Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin) among 2,565 likely voters between July 24 and July 26 and has a margin of error of 1.94 percent. About 400 likely voters responded to the poll in each battleground state, indicating the margin of error for state-level results are higher. The national poll was described by Change Research as a “companion national survey of 1,039 likely voters” and was also conducted between July 24 and July 26 and has a margin of error of 3.04 percent. Biden still leads Trump narrowly in each of the six key battleground states, but in four of those states (Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania), Biden’s lead appears to be within the assumed margin of error for the portion of the battleground poll conducted in those states. In two of those states (Michigan and Wisconsin), Biden’s lead is barely beyond the assumed margin of error. Trump’s improved status among likely voters in these states is particularly of note when the results of the Change Research/CNBC poll released on Wednesday are compared with the results of the same poll conducted between July 10 and July 12 and released two weeks earlier on July 15. That poll found that Biden led Trump by ten points nationally and by six points in the six battleground states. In Arizona, Biden leads Trump by two points: 47 percent to 45 percent. Trump trailed by six points in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has picked up a net four points in Arizona in two weeks. In Pennsylvania, Biden leads Trump by two points: 48 percent to 46 percent. Trump trailed by eight points in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has picked up a net six points in Pennsylvania in two weeks. In Florida, Biden leads Trump by three points: 48 percent to 45 percent. Trump trailed by seven points in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has picked up a net four points in Florida in two weeks. In North Carolina, Biden leads Trump by three points: 49 percent to 46 percent. Trump trailed by one point in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has dropped up a net two points in North Carolina in two weeks. In Michigan, Biden leads Trump by four points: 46 percent to 42 percent. Trump trailed by six points in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has picked up a net two points in Michigan in two weeks. In Wisconsin, Biden leads Trump by five points: 48 percent to 43 percent. Trump trailed by six points in the July 15 Change Research/CNBC poll, so he has picked up a net one point in Wisconsin in two weeks.


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