ANALYTICS

15.04.2018 | Big price to pay: Inside Trumps decision to bomb Syria
by Philip Rucker, Missy Ryan, Josh Dawsey and Anne Gearan - The Washington Post

From the moment White House Chief of Staff John F. Kelly first informed him late on the night of April 7 that dozens of people in a leafy suburb of Damascus had died choking and foaming at the mouth from another suspected gas attack, President Trump was determined to strike back in Syria. For him, the only question was how. This was a sudden change of tune for a president who only a few days earlier had said he wanted to withdraw U.S. troops from Syrias intractable war and, as he put it at an event in Ohio, let other people take care of it now. But the images of last weekends atrocities haunted Trump, White House officials said, triggering six straight days of tense deliberations with his newly reorganized national security team as well as coalition partners from France and the United Kingdom over military options to retaliate against the alleged perpetrator he derided as Animal Assad. The result was 105 missiles raining down on three of Syrian President Bashar al-Assads chemical weapons facilities Friday night. The morning after, Trump tweeted perhaps fatefully, considering President George W. Bushs premature declaration of victory in Iraq Mission Accomplished! Even with Trumps jubilant response to the strikes, several advisers close to the president said they had no indication there was a long-term strategy for the region and he seems essentially in the same position now as he was after last Aprils attack on Syria. The missile strikes Friday night came at an especially traumatic moment. The commander in chief was increasingly agitated over the past week as legal and personal crises converged around him, exhibiting flashes of raw anger, letting off steam on Twitter and sometimes seeming distracted from his war planning. [James B. Comeys memoir: Trump fixates on proving lewd dossier allegations false] As the military brass put together the final details on the Syria strike plan, for instance, Trump was following the New York court proceedings involving his personal lawyer Michael Cohen and was fixated on media coverage of fired FBI director James B. Comeys new memoir. The book paints a scathing portrait of the presidents conduct in office and character, and Trump was personally involved Friday in drafting the scorching statement attacking Comey that White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders read from her podium Friday, according to a senior administration official. Fridays surgical strikes were more restrained than the images Trump tried to conjure with his bellicose tweets previewing the action. Last Sunday, he warned Assad and his governments backers, Russia and Iran: Big price to pay. On Wednesday, he wrote that missiles will be coming, nice and new and smart!  Military officials said Saturday that they believe that no one not even Syrian government personnel was killed in the attack, which struck nonresidential facilities in the middle of the night. Although options for more-expansive actions were also discussed, the plan that Trump ultimately endorsed, with a mix of air- and sea-launched missiles and sophisticated standoff airstrikes, was designed to minimize risk to U.S. and allied personnel and lessen the chances of unwanted escalation, officials said. National security adviser John Bolton, in his first week on the job, was a hawkish voice urging a meaningful show of force that would deter Assad. Trump also heard from some hawks on Capitol Hill, including Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.), who said he urged the president to forgo his plan to pull back troop levels in Syria. I fear when the dust settles, this strike will be seen as a weak military response and Assad will have paid a small price for using chemicals yet again, Graham said. Trump was characteristically impatient and wanted the military to take action quickly, officials said, but Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr., chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, steered a more deliberative and careful process. Mattis and Dunford articulated to Trump the risks involved with operating in Syria, including the possibility of escalation with Russia and Iran, or an unintended event that might drag the United States further into Syrias war, officials said. We were not out to expand this, Mattis told reporters just after the attack. We were very precise and proportionate. Military leaders calculated that retaliation from Syria or its allies could come immediately or in a harder-to-detect way, like the insurgent-style attacks that U.S. forces had faced from Iranian-backed militias during the Iraq War. Despite Trumps urgency to punish the Assad regime, the president allowed Mattis and his military leaders several days to coordinate an allied attack with the French and British, which the Pentagon argued would require naval maneuvers and target coordination among the three countries. Military officials also said they needed time to develop the right targets. While officials had been watching known Syrian chemical sites on and off for years, aerial surveillance time has been dedicated mostly to other areas of Syria, where the United States and allied local forces continue to battle the Islamic State. That meant the U.S. military needed to refresh its intelligence on the chemical facilities before targeteers could build the target packages that would guide the operation. As military leaders were busy plotting a strike plan in Washington, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley emerged almost immediately as a voice of the administrations outrage over Assads suspected chemical attack as well as over what she called Russian disinformation to protect its Mideast ally. Haley used her position at the United Nations to place the American response in an international context, condemning both Syria and Russia during an emergency U.N. Security Council session on Monday. Hers was a display of traditional American diplomacy fierce in the defense of civilians allegedly harmed by their own government, confrontational with Russia and mindful of the political and public relations needs of European allies in an administration that frequently ignores regular diplomatic order. Only a monster targets civilians and then ensures that there are no ambulances to transfer the wounded, Haley said Monday. As Haley spoke alongside her counterparts from Britain and France, coordinating her remarks with theirs, Trump was on the phone with British Prime Minister Theresa May and French President Emmanuel Macron to forge a coalition. Spending the week at the White House with a pared back public schedule, Trump was often distracted. On Monday morning, after learning that FBI agents had raided Cohens office, hotel room and residence, Trump stewed with anger the remainder of the day. He railed to advisers and friends that special counsel Robert S. Mueller IIIs Russia investigation had grown far too expansive, complained about Attorney General Jeff Sessions and mused about firing Deputy Attorney General Rod J. Rosenstein. Officials said that Trump made little progress that day on Syria strategy. But the suspected chemical weapons attack in Syria lingered in his mind. On Wednesday, officials said, Trump awoke to learn on Fox News Channel that Russian officials had crowed that they could shoot down any American missiles fired on Syria. He vowed on Twitter, Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and smart!  Trumps apparent announcement of a missile attack surprised and rattled military leaders. Though the strategy talks were moving in the direction of military action, officials said, no decision had been made about whether, when or how to strike in Syria. It was not until Thursday that military leaders presented Trump final options on targets. Looming over the discussions all week were differing levels of comfort among U.S. officials with the intelligence surrounding the reported April 7 attack in Douma, just outside the capital of Damascus. Almost immediately, military officials identified the killings as more serious than other, smaller-scale chemical incidents that Syrian activists and medical workers had reported in recent months. Within hours of learning of the Douma incident through social media, military officials flagged it for their superiors and in short order began exploring retaliatory options for Trump. At U.S. Central Command in Tampa, officials in a dedicated planning cell dusted off earlier scenarios and discussed what sort of action might be taken. In Washington, Mattis and other senior officials talked through a possible strike with the White House. And as Trump conveyed more urgency on Twitter, the pace of Pentagon planning intensified. As they prepared to initiate the strike, U.S. commanders stepped up security measures for U.S. troops across the Middle East, putting a U.S. force of about 2,000 inside Syria, on high alert. Mattis for several days resisted concluding definitively that Assads government was responsible for the Douma attack, officials said, saying he had not seen enough evidence that the Syrian government was responsible until last Thursday. But his boss did not share that apprehension. Even before a full intelligence briefing on the incident had been prepared, Trump assigned blame on Twitter last Sunday morning. Many dead, including women and children, in mindless CHEMICAL attack in Syria, Trump tweeted. He added, President Putin, Russia and Iran are responsible for backing Animal Assad. Big price to pay.


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